Which stocks from last week's earnings are forming buy setups?

From the week ending August 09, 2026, 5 stocks are identified as Trend Accelerators with actionable buy setups: AMCR, LITE, NBIS, SE, SMCI.

How many earnings stocks beat EPS estimates this week?

19 of 24 stocks beat EPS estimates. 13 gaps held after the 3-day rule.

What is the 3-day rule for post-earnings trading?

The 3-day rule suggests waiting 3 trading days after earnings to see if a gap holds or fills. Gaps that hold after 3 days are more likely to continue in the gap direction.

AI Post-Earnings Action Report — AMAT Featured

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Download PDF — Post-Earnings Action Report

Individual Reports

ALC AMAT AMCR ASTS B BN CAH CBRS COHR CRWV CSCO ESLT FERG FNV JD LITE NBIS NU RKLB SE SMCI SPG TPR VG

Executive Summary

TL;DR19 of 24 beat EPS (79%), and 13 gaps held the 3-day rule. 5 accelerating, 3 reversing, 16 in volatility crush.

Full summary

Of the 24 stocks reporting earnings this week, 19 beat EPS estimates while 5 missed. Post-earnings, 13 of the 24 gaps held after three days. CRWV saw the biggest gap up at +20.3%, while CBRS experienced the largest gap down at -16.0%.

The week's earnings activity was largely characterized by "Volatility Crush" (16 stocks), where initial price movements often failed to sustain. However, five "Trend Accelerator" stocks, including LITE (+9.6% gap held) and SMCI (+10.7% gap held), demonstrated strong post-earnings momentum in existing uptrends.

Sector Backdrop — 5-Day Tide

Where the institutional money is flowing this week. SPY 5D: +0.5%. Earnings landings into leading sectors get a tailwind; landings into lagging sectors fight a headwind.

Leaders

XLE Energy +6.4% XLU Utilities +2.0% XLP Consumer Staples +1.7%

Laggards

XLY Consumer Discretionary -0.9% XLB Materials -0.5% XLI Industrials +0.3%

Position Changes This Week

New Buy Entries

B — Entry 2026-08-11 @ $40.13 (GOLDEN_CROSS) — OPEN
HOLD □□□□□□□ Signal 0/7 | Bullish | RSI 60 | +5.5% vs EMA20
💡 Barrick's robust Q2 earnings and increased production provide a strong fundamental tailwind, reinforcing the current bullish buy entry.
BN — Entry 2026-08-13 @ $45.11 (GOLDEN_CROSS) — OPEN
HOLD □□□□□□□ Signal 0/7 | Bullish | RSI 51 | +0.2% vs EMA20
💡 Hold BN as strong Q2 earnings and new AI infrastructure partnerships reinforce bullish sentiment.
FNV — Entry 2026-08-10 @ $240.9 (GOLDEN_CROSS) — OPEN
HOLD □□□□□□□ Signal 0/7 | Bullish | RSI 61 | +4.1% vs EMA20
💡 Franco-Nevada's record Q2 results and strong guidance reinforce a bullish outlook, suggesting to hold positions.
NBIS — Entry 2026-08-14 @ $277.68 (GOLDEN_CROSS) — OPEN
HOLD □□□□□□□ Signal 0/7 | Bullish | RSI 65 | +28.6% vs EMA20
💡 Hold NBIS; blowout Q2 earnings and strong AI cloud demand reinforce a continued bullish outlook.
SMCI — Entry 2026-08-13 @ $39.16 (CONFLUENCE) — OPEN
HOLD □□□□□□□ Signal 0/7 | Bullish | RSI 71 | +24.6% vs EMA20
💡 SMCI's record $60B+ AI order backlog and strong FY2027 guidance reinforce bullish sentiment, justifying a HOLD.
TPR — Entry 2026-08-13 @ $128.39 (CONFLUENCE) — OPEN
HOLD ■■■■■□□ Signal 5/7 | Bullish | RSI 32 | -13.3% vs EMA20
💡 Tapestry's strong Q4 results, raised 2027 outlook, and 16% dividend hike support holding despite recent analyst downgrades.

Featured Post-Earnings Setup: AMAT🟡 NEUTRAL · XLK +1.0% · #7/11 📊 Open Stock Analysis ↗

📋 AMAT SnapshotIs AMAT a buy right now? The 10-second read

Company Quality

97/100

Model Timing

EXIT WATCH

Risk Level

High

Expected Return

+25.8%

Rating

HOLD

Entry

$354.03

model signal 2026-02-13

Stop (Conservative)

$435.74

-14.1% from $507.18

Analyst Target

$638.17 → $900.00

+25.8% to consensus · street high

Signal Strength

3/7

LOW confidence · last fired 2026-07-29, 16d ago

Action: HOLD · Open P&L +43.3%

⏱ 5-sec read: the tiles above · 1-min: Earnings Resolution below · Deep dive: the technical scan and peer sections

Why Featured: AMAT beat estimates with $3.50 EPS versus $3.40 expected, yet the stock gapped down -6.6% the next session. Shares still sit above their 5-month trend line near $490.19, but relative strength versus the sector has been rolling over for ten straight weeks. This tension between a resilient medium-term trend and fading leadership makes it a textbook post-earnings tug-of-war worth monitoring closely.

Earnings Resolution

EPS Result: Applied Materials beat estimates with $3.50 actual EPS versus $3.40 expected, a +2.9% surprise.
Gap Analysis: Stock opened at $499.40, a -6.6% gap down from the $534.54 pre-earnings close.
Volume & Drift: No confirmed 3-day close is available yet, leaving post-gap drift direction currently undetermined.

Post-Earnings Technical Assessment

Gap: The -6.6% gap has not reversed intraday, suggesting sellers controlled the initial reaction.
Trend: Price recovered to $507.18, still above its 5-month trend line despite the earnings-day drop.
Key Levels: Resistance sits at $512.13 while support holds near $437.27, framing the current range.
Momentum: Confluence score reads 0/7 with weak ADX near 10.9, signaling indecisive directional momentum.

The Setup Verdict

🔮 Scenarios (30-60 Days)

🟢 Bull: $638.17 (+25.8%) — Relative strength stabilizes and the beat fuels renewed institutional accumulation.

🟡 Base: $474.70 (+0.0%) — Shares consolidate between support and resistance while the trend rebuilds.

🔴 Bear: $435.74 (-14.1%) — Fading relative strength drags price back toward the 5-month trend line.

Final Verdict: MONITOR. With price between $437.27 support and $512.13 resistance, wait for a decisive break before committing capital.

🔬 AMAT - Deep Technical Scan

RSI (14)

2.0

Oversold

MACD Histogram

1.471

Bullish

ADX

10.9

Weak trend

BB Position

36%

Mid-range

Confluence

0B / 0S

N/A

Signal

HOLD

Uptrend

ML Probability

48% next day up

5d 58% | 20d 71%

Backtest Win Rate

46%

11W / 13L (24 trades)

Avg Trade P&L

+8.7%

Best: +93.4% / Worst: -21.3%

SUPPORT

$437.27

STOP LOSS

$435.74

RESISTANCE

$512.13

📊 Fundamental Snapshot

P/E Ratio

43.7

Forward P/E

27.9

Rev Growth

+24.8%

Analyst Upside

+25.8%

🤖 AMAT - AI Deep Analysis

🎯 Price Targets

THE ANALYST CONSENSUS:
• Average Target: $638.17 (+25.8% Upside)
• High Target: $900.00

RISK/REWARD:
• Upside to Bull: +25.8%
• Downside to Bear: -14.1%
• Verdict: Favorable

⚠️ Risk Assessment

THREAT ASSESSMENT: AMAT

1. THREAT LEVEL: ELEVATED
* Why: The trade is positioned precariously near resistance with negligible trend strength and stale bullish conviction, setting the stage for a potential reversal into a substantial stop loss.

2. THE #1 KILLER:
* Risk: Rejection at Resistance. The current price ($507.18) is within 1% of the established resistance level ($512.13).
* Consequence: A failure to decisively breach this immediate overhead resistance, especially given the extremely weak trend strength (ADX 10.9), will likely trigger a sharp pullback, potentially accelerating a decline towards support and the stop loss.

3. RISK FACTOR BREAKDOWN:
Technicals: Trend is nominally "Bullish," but the ADX reading of 10.9 indicates an extremely weak* or non-existent trend. This "bullish" label is misleading without underlying momentum. RSI at 44.9 is neutral, offering no directional conviction.
* Levels: The trade is initiating directly into resistance at $512.13. The stop loss at $435.74 is positioned just below support at $437.27, indicating a significant downside exposure of 14.1% before the trade is exited.
Psychology: Confluence is described as "WEAK" with the last bullish signal 16 days ago. This signifies a complete lack of current* bullish conviction or fresh catalysts, leaving the trade vulnerable to any negative sentiment shift.

4. WORST CASE SCENARIO:
* The price fails to overcome the immediate resistance, reverses sharply due to the absence of underlying trend strength and fresh bullish catalysts, and cascades through support, triggering the stop loss for a definitive 14.1% capital loss.

📰 AI Sentiment Google Search Grounded

HEADLINE STORY:
Applied Materials Reports Record Q3 2026 Results and Strong Q4 Outlook, Yet Stock Dips on Margin Concerns and High Expectations.

RAPID FIRE:
• Revenue: $30.8B (+24.8% YoY)
• EPS: $18.16 (+0.0% YoY)
• Key Driver: AI infrastructure demand surge

SENTIMENT GAUGE:
Verdict: SELLING THE NEWS
The Reality: Despite delivering record fiscal third-quarter results and an upbeat fourth-quarter forecast, Applied Materials' stock declined as investors appeared to have already priced in the positive news and reacted to a flat sequential margin guide and shrinking China revenue share.

STRENGTHS & RISKS:
Positive: Applied Materials achieved record fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $9.12 billion, a 25% year-over-year increase, and record non-GAAP EPS of $3.50, up 41% year-over-year. The company also provided strong Q4 2026 revenue guidance of $10.25 billion (midpoint), representing a 51% year-over-year increase, and raised its calendar 2026 Semiconductor Systems growth outlook to greater than 30%. Additionally, DRAM revenue grew 52% year-over-year, and advanced packaging revenue is expected to grow over 70% in calendar 2026.
Risk: The stock's decline despite strong results indicates that high investor expectations led to a "priced for perfection" scenario. Concerns were also noted regarding China revenue shrinking as a share of the mix and a flat sequential margin guide despite significant revenue growth.

TRADER'S TAKEAWAY:
The market's negative reaction to Applied Materials' strong earnings suggests that the positive news was largely anticipated, and traders should consider the impact of high expectations and margin outlook on future price movements.

⚖️ Peer Benchmarking — AMAT vs LRCX, ASML

Metric	AMAT	LRCX	ASML
Price	$507.18	$332.36	$1844.08
Trend	Downtrend	Uptrend	Uptrend
RSI	44.9	54.6	59.6
ADX	10.9	12.4	13.3
P/E	43.7	57.8	62.9
Fwd P/E	27.9	28.8	31.0
Rev Growth	+24.8%	+30.0%	+21.3%
EPS Growth	+42.8%	+34.8%	+28.5%
Debt/Equity	0.26	0.33	0.09
Beta	1.62	1.86	1.36
Win Rate	46%	67%	58%
Sentiment	Slightly Bullish	Slightly Bullish	Slightly Bullish

⚖️ AI Head-to-Head Comparison

# TOP RANKED: AMAT
> Reason: Applied Materials offers the most compelling combination of strong growth, attractive valuation relative to peers, and significant analyst upside potential.

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HEAD-TO-HEAD BREAKDOWN

1. TREND

ASML exhibits the strongest current trend with a Bullish ADX of 13.3, and its price is well above its rising 5-month trend line. AMAT also shows a Bullish trend with its price above a rising 5-month trend line, though its ADX is lower at 10.9. LRCX, despite being above its rising 5-month trend line, is currently flagged with a Bearish trend (ADX: 12.4). All three have a "WEAK" Bullish Confluence signal that last fired 16 days ago.
Leader: ASML 🚀

2. GROWTH

AMAT leads in EPS growth with a robust 42.8% YoY and boasts the highest analyst target upside of +25.8% to $638.17. LRCX has the highest revenue growth at 30.0% but lower EPS growth (34.8%) and analyst upside (+11.0%). ASML shows solid growth with 21.3% revenue growth and 28.5% EPS growth, with an 18.2% analyst upside.
Leader: AMAT 📈

3. VALUE

AMAT presents the most favorable valuation metrics among the three, with a P/E ratio of 43.7, a Forward P/E of 27.9, and a PEG ratio of 1.09. LRCX follows with a P/E of 57.8, Forward P/E of 28.8, and PEG of 1.55. ASML appears the most expensive, with a P/E of 62.9, Forward P/E of 31.0, and a PEG of 2.22.
Leader: AMAT 💰

4. SAFETY

ASML demonstrates the lowest Beta at 1.36 and the lowest stop loss risk at -7.9%. LRCX has the best backtest win rate (67%) and average P&L (+19.2%), but a higher Beta of 1.86. AMAT has a Beta of 1.62 and a stop loss risk of -14.1%, with a 46% backtest win rate.
Leader: ASML 🛡️

5. FLAGS

• AMAT: The "Confluence" signal is noted as "WEAK," and its backtest win rate of 46% is lower than its peers.
• LRCX: The current "TREND" is indicated as "Bearish" despite its price being above its rising 5-month trend line, which could signal underlying weakness. Its "Confluence" signal is also "WEAK."
• ASML: Its valuation metrics (P/E 62.9, PEG 2.22) are significantly higher than its peers, suggesting potential overvaluation. The "Confluence" signal is "WEAK."

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BOTTOM LINE

While ASML offers a strong trend and lower volatility, AMAT stands out as the top pick due to its superior blend of high EPS growth (42.8%), more attractive valuation (P/E 43.7, PEG 1.09), and substantial analyst upside (+25.8%), making it a compelling investment in the semiconductor equipment sector.

📰 AI Sentiment Comparison Google Search Grounded

SENTIMENT COMPARISON:

AMAT: MIXED — Applied Materials reported strong Q3 FY2026 earnings, beating estimates with record revenue and non-GAAP EPS, and analysts have raised price targets and upgraded ratings due to AI demand and growth; however, the stock reportedly slipped after earnings, indicating high market expectations.
LRCX: MIXED — Lam Research plans to invest over $3 billion to expand its global R&D labs to accelerate innovation in the AI era, and was upgraded to "Strong Buy" by Zacks; however, Simply Wall St suggests the stock may be overvalued and trading close to analyst targets.
ASML: BULLISH — ASML's High NA EUV technology has entered high-volume manufacturing with Intel's 18A process node, marking a significant readiness milestone in a production environment.

NEWS EDGE: ASML has the strongest near-term catalyst due to its High NA EUV technology entering high-volume manufacturing with Intel's 18A process node, which is a concrete technological achievement directly impacting future advanced chip production.

CATALYST TIMELINE:
AMAT: Next earnings report expected on November 12, 2026.
LRCX: Next earnings release expected on October 21, 2026.
ASML: Next earnings date is estimated for October 14, 2026.

Earnings Scorecard

TL;DRBiggest move up CRWV +20.3%, down CBRS -16.0%. A gap that holds three days is the one worth trading.

Metric	Ticker	Value
Biggest Gap Up	CRWV	+20.3%
Biggest Gap Down	CBRS	-16.0%
19 of 24 beat EPS • 13 gaps held after 3-day rule

Volatility & Trend Resolution

TL;DR5 names cleared earnings and kept going — the buy setups. 3 gave the move back. 16 went quiet and are a wait, not a trade.

Trend Accelerators — Buy Setups (5)

Uptrend + EPS beat + gap held + price above support: AMCR (+1.3%), LITE (+9.6%), NBIS (+17.0%), SE (+11.4%), SMCI (+10.7%)

Trend Reversals — Watch List (3)

Downtrend + beat or capitulation bounce: CBRS (-16.0%), COHR (+9.0%), CRWV (+20.3%)

Volatility Crush — Wait (16)

Wide range, gap faded, no clear direction: ALC (+2.5%), AMAT (-6.6%), ASTS (+1.4%), BN (+0.4%), B (-5.6%), CAH (+2.5%), CSCO (-8.0%), ESLT (-6.0%), FERG (+2.3%), FNV (+0.2%), JD (-2.6%), NU (+13.0%), RKLB (-4.7%), SPG (-0.8%), TPR (-13.7%), VG (-7.8%)

AI Recommended Action Items

NEW POSITION — Survived 3-day rule. Trend: Uptrend. Post-earnings flag.

LITE (+9.6%)
HOLD — Existing position confirmed. Earnings beat + trend intact.

NBIS (+17.0%)SE (+11.4%)SMCI (+10.7%)AMCR (+1.3%)
MONITOR — Beat EPS but extended or reversal in progress. Wait for confirmation.

CRWV (+20.3%)CBRS (-16.0%)TPR (-13.7%)NU (+13.0%)COHR (+9.0%)CSCO (-8.0%)VG (-7.8%)AMAT (-6.6%)ESLT (-6.0%)B (-5.6%)JD (-2.6%)ALC (+2.5%)
2 more
CAH (+2.5%)FERG (+2.3%)
NO POSITION — Gap fill failure or missed EPS. No actionable setup.

RKLB (-4.7%)ASTS (+1.4%)SPG (-0.8%)BN (+0.4%)FNV (+0.2%)

DISCLAIMER: This report is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Ultra Stock Analysis Pro is not a registered investment advisor; information is impersonal and not tailored to individual circumstances. AI-generated content may contain errors — verify before acting. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Technical analysis based on historical data through August 15, 2026. Please conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Individual investment decisions should be made based on personal financial circumstances and risk tolerance. Always consider consulting a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.